Philanthropy Under Trump: What To Expect

A Pen and ink illustration of the White House, to illustrate a blog on the future of philanthropy under Trump.
Reading Time: 4 minutes

Predicting the future of philanthropy is a tricky business—and even more so when it comes to political shifts. Under the new Trump administration, the direction of philanthropy could change, although I do not think it will drastically. We can only take some guesses based on historical data and recent events.

The Good

A good predictor of charitable giving has been the stock market. It’s simple: When stocks do well, philanthropy follows. A second Trump term will likely drive stocks up and therefore charitable contributions will likely rise, too. Financial prosperity has always correlated with increased generosity among Americans, who tend to share more of their wealth when their portfolios “even look” promising. That is, before their portfolios even actually go up.

Another predictor is taxes. Trump has long supported tax reductions, which means people may have more disposable income. Historically, when people experience reduced tax burdens, their capacity (and willingness) to give increases. Even businesses are more likely to give raises, which then passes to philanthropy. The combination of stock market growth and a lower tax environment could lead to a boom in donations, particularly from high-income households.

In short, the financial landscape might become a positive factor for philanthropy like in the past, with increased donations to many nonprofits—especially those focused on health, community services, and the arts.

The Bad

On the flip side, there are some warning signs. J.D. Vance (Trump’s running mate) could have a negative effect on large-scale philanthropy, particularly for university endowments and larger, powerful foundations. Vance has been outspoken about his belief that many large philanthropic organizations—such as the Ford Foundation, Gates Foundation, and even university endowments—are harmful to American society. Of course, he has a habit of changing his tune (like any other politician) to suit the audience, so these are just guesses. Also, I don’t think philanthropy is high up on Vance’s agenda.

However, as cited in Forbes, Vance has criticized these organizations for promoting “left-leaning ideologies” and has proposed measures on taxation. He once stated that “the Ford Foundation, the Gates Foundation, the Harvard University endowment, these are fundamentally cancers on American society but they pretend to be charities so they benefit from preferential tax treatment.”

His rhetoric (and this rhetoric has been around for several decades, and shared by many on the left and right), if translated into policy, could make the environment more hostile for the larger nonprofits, particularly those in education.

In fact, we are already seeing some impact on charitable giving to higher eds. According to Forbes, donations to institutions like Harvard have dropped by as much as 15% in recent months. A more adversarial political climate could further discourage some donors from supporting institutions that face negative public scrutiny of any kind or potential tax penalties. It remains to be seen how this aspect of philanthropy under Trump will play out. 

Moreover, the potential for new legislation targeting university endowments or even foundation assets could have profound effects. The College Endowment Accountability Act proposed by Vance in 2023 aimed to significantly raise taxes on endowment incomes, though it was blocked by Senate Democrats. However, if Trump and Vance gain more power, similar legislation could gain traction, posing a challenge to the financial stability of large educational and philanthropic institutions.

Even large faith-based endowments will be on watch, like the Mormon Church, which has an endowment almost twice the size of Harvard’s. But remember: Almost all government legislation involves negotiation, so these impacts will not be as large or “detrimental” as the media may portray. In short, don’t worry too, much regardless of which side of the aisle you are on.

The Toss-Up (The Tough to Predict)

Of course, there are always wild cards. The philanthropy landscape involves a web of economic conditions, policy decisions, and individual motivations. While it’s likely that the market and tax changes will create favorable conditions for giving, the question remains: How will donors react to increased scrutiny of foundations and university endowments?

The tone and content of public discourse can significantly impact charitable behavior. If Vance and his colleagues continue to promote some rhetoric towards some nonprofits, donors might think twice before making large contributions to targeted institutions. Alternatively, the pressure could push foundations and endowments to adopt more transparency and to focus more on core missions, potentially leading to increased credibility and renewed public trust.

Another unpredictable factor of philanthropy under Trump is how grassroots philanthropy and smaller nonprofits will fare. Historically, times of political upheaval often led to increases in grassroots efforts and localized charitable giving. People may divert their contributions from larger institutions to smaller organizations they feel are more aligned with their values or less likely to be affected by political pressures.

Final Thoughts

Philanthropy under Trump and his new administration is a mix of potential upsides and downsides. The likely positives are tied to market performance and tax reductions, both of which could create an environment that encourages giving. However, with J.D. Vance’s documented opinions toward major philanthropic players, we might also see a more restrictive regulatory environment for larger institutions—particularly those in education and progressive causes. Many claim, “It’s been done to businesses. Why not to nonprofits?”

Of course, we cannot fully predict how the landscape will evolve. The interplay of political power, economic conditions, and public sentiment will determine whether philanthropy in the coming years will flourish or face challenges. For donors, nonprofits, and those who benefit from charitable efforts, it will be important to stay adaptable and resilient in the face of change. But one thing is for sure: There’s never been a better time for planned giving.

My important take away? Don’t panic. That’s what the majority does. No one ever became wealthy by panicking.

We value your insights! What stood out to you in this article? Join or start a conversation below.

One Comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

  • Amida holds a Master’s in Taxation from Villanova University and is a prolific writer, specializing in philanthropy and its intersection with tax and giving strategies.

    View all posts
Colored open hand illustration

Seeking Visionary Voices!

Do you have:

  • A unique insight or bold idea?
  • A story of success—or valuable lessons from failure?
  • Expert advice that could guide your peers?

Join other forward-thinkers in shaping the future of philanthropy. Contribute today and let your voice be heard.

Related Posts

Man planting trees at sunset with quote about legacy and future generations.

Everyone Wants the Fruit, But No One Wants to Plant the Tree

Planned giving remains one of the most powerful yet underutilized tools in nonprofit fundraising. This article explores why organizations overlook it, the cultural and systemic reasons behind short-term thinking, and what it takes to cultivate long-term donor relationships. Through practical insights, emotional truths, and a self-assessment checklist, it challenges nonprofits to plant the seeds of legacy today—because the fruit, and the future, depend on it. Elegant, honest, and quietly urgent, this is fundraising philosophy in action.

Read More »
Smiling financial advisor discussing philanthropic planning with a client in a bright, modern office setting.

Advisors, Philanthropy, and Donor Perceptions: Why Advisors Must Embrace the Shift

As donor expectations evolve, today’s philanthropists are seeking more from their financial advisors—beyond tax advice. They want strategic, values-aligned giving plans that include family, legacy, and impact. With over $84 trillion expected to transfer across generations by 2045, advisors who understand charitable tools like planned giving and donor-advised funds are well-positioned for growth. Learn how integrating philanthropy into your financial planning services isn’t just good ethics—it’s smart business.

Read More »
Woman planning her will on a tablet standing up

Rethinking Will Planners: How Estate Planning Tools Can (and Should) Support Philanthropy

Most will tools are built for transactions, not legacies. LegacyPlanner™ redefines estate planning by integrating it into the donor journey—educating, inspiring, and deepening engagement along the way. It’s not just about creating documents; it’s about creating impact. As philanthropy evolves, so must our tools. LegacyPlanner™ offers a glimpse into how estate planning can become a central part of donor-centric fundraising strategies.

Read More »
A diverse group of people standing together outdoors with arms around each other, facing the sunrise in a display of unity and support.

The Power of Community in Primal Fundraising: I’m Not Just Giving, I’m Sharing!

Giving feels noble. Sharing feels human. This blog explores the primal power of community in fundraising—not as a transaction, but as a mutual act of belonging. True generosity thrives when people feel they are part of something, not giving to something. Drawing from game theory, biology, and real-world experiments, it reveals why communal sharing inspires deeper, more sustainable gifts—and why the smartest fundraisers aren’t just building donors. They’re building tribes.

Read More »